UFC 2016/17 Numbers Comparison. More money for less interest

Welcome to our Community
Wanting to join the rest of our members? Feel free to Sign Up today.
Sign up

FrankieNYC

"My balls was hot!"
Aug 13, 2017
3,959
6,706
In 2016, the UFC had EBITDA of $226 million
That is the first time we got concrete numbers for 2016.
If the 2017 projections of $320m hold up, that is a huge upswing for a down trending year (see below).
Part of it was MayMac, $55m was cost cutting & the rest were contractual deals that WME made & escalating deals from Lorenzo era

-

The Fight Night on FS 1 ratings, which, while not necessarily the most important numbers, are the numbers that measure the weekly regular fan base the best, saw a decline from 965,111 viewers on average for the main cards to 795,412, or a drop of 17.6 percent.

-

The prelims for Fight Nights on FS 1 fell from 730,125 to 634,929, a drop of 13.0 percent. A key is that this percentage drop being less than the main card drop shows that the audience that is watching is more apt to watch longer. But theoretically that would be the case because the most hardcore fans who are willing to watch all five hours instead of two or three on Saturday are going to be less likely to give up their viewing habits.

-

The live FOX main cards (and this factors out the big Christmas Eve number last year) averaged 2,084,500 viewers this year, as opposed to 2,661,600 last year, a decline of 21.7 percent. The reality is that the four UFC on FOX shows in 2017 were among the five lowest in the six year history of UFC on network television.

-

PPV prelims on FS 1 dropped 28.6 percent from 1,168,500 to 834,000. But that’s to be expected, because those numbers are directly related to interest in the main event, and this year had fewer big PPV matches and shows headlined by marquee names.

-

Not including the final show of the year, and if anything, that show will hurt the average rather than help it, the PPVs have gone from an estimated 558,000 buys in North America to 305,000 or a 45.3 percent drop. These numbers would not include the 12/30 show, which probably wouldn’t have changed the average by much in either direction.
The prelims drop tells a story. If the drops were identical, there isn’t much to learn from it. But the drops being less tells you that while all audiences declined, the audience willing to watch for free didn’t decline at nearly the rate of the audience willing to pay PPV prices.



----------

Interest is down & needs to be addressed, but even without MayMac, UFC would have had their best moneymaking year in history.
 

Wild

Zi Nazi
Admin
Dec 31, 2014
94,853
137,642
Do you think the decline in these numbers will impact what they were expecting to get for their new television deal FrankieNYC @FrankieNYC?
 

FrankieNYC

"My balls was hot!"
Aug 13, 2017
3,959
6,706
Do you think the decline in these numbers will impact what they were expecting to get for their new television deal FrankieNYC @FrankieNYC?
Yes but more in a "less positive" way.
I mean, they will still get a better deal.
The last Fox offer was over $200m per
If we say $225, that is 2.25x the last deal & about 1.4x what they are getting in 2017/18 (deal escalates)
Plus NBC is expected to bid & if TW/ATT (TWATT lol) merges in-time, they expressed interest.

But a double digit decline when negotiating is not a power position.
What does help, is even on recent shit cards on Fox/FS1, they do pretty good on demo's
I think the last FS1 card in December was 3rd over-all on cable
Live sports are a premium, because they are DVR proof

The biggest key is not who bids how much, but for what?

I covered some of this in October & 3 weeks later SportsBusinessJournal backed up all my info
 

Wild

Zi Nazi
Admin
Dec 31, 2014
94,853
137,642
Yes but more in a "less positive" way.
I mean, they will still get a better deal.
The last Fox offer was over $200m per
If we say $225, that is 2.25x the last deal & about 1.4x what they are getting in 2017/18 (deal escalates)
Plus NBC is expected to bid & if TW/ATT (TWATT lol) merges in-time, they expressed interest.

But a double digit decline when negotiating is not a power position.
What does help, is even on recent shit cards on Fox/FS1, they do pretty good on demo's
I think the last FS1 card in December was 3rd over-all on cable
Live sports are a premium, because they are DVR proof

The biggest key is not who bids how much, but for what?

I covered some of this in October & 3 weeks later SportsBusinessJournal backed up all my info
Reading the articles now. I'm sure I'll have questions lol.