We have the last leg of the Triple Crown coming up Saturday. The Belmont Stakes at Saratoga race track. This years it's 1 1/4 mile (usually 1 1/2 mile) because renovations are being done to Belmont Park.
Here's the field:
I'll probably be placing W/P bets on #6 Baeza. He's fresh after skipping the Preakness, and the pace of this race should set up nicely for him. His 4-1 M/L odds are also attractive (not sure I get 4-1 at post time though). The only speed in this field is the #3 and #5. I expect them to be on the lead at the half mile pole, with the #6 & #7 stalking off of them a couple of lengths...meaning they should get first run in the stretch. The Derby winner (#2 Sovereignty) might be up against it bit here because he's a closer who needs decent fractions to close into, and I'm not sure he gets it here. I do expect him to run his race though, being fresh after also skipping the Preakness. Just not sure he's going to have enough horses tiring in front of him. Then there's Journalism, who ran 2nd in the Derby, came back in 2 weeks and won the Preakness, and is now firing at em again on short rest. He's a fucking beast though, and his connections wouldn't run in him in here if he weren't ready. I just wonder if the two hard races he ran in the Derby & Preakness might leave him a but empty here.
Preliminary wagers:
$10 W/P: 6 ($20)
$4 ex: 6,7 w/ 2,3,6,7 ($24)
$1 tri: 6/7 w/ 2,3,6,7 w/ 1,2,3,6,7 ($18)
$1 tri: 2,3,6,7 w/ 6,7 w/ 1,2,3,6,7 ($18)
$1 super: 6/7 w/ 2,3,6,7 w/ 1,2,3,6,7 w/ 1,2,3,6,7 ($36)
Total wagers = $116